Brexit Observatory: Migration

Migration was a high-profile topic during the referendum debates. As negotiations unfold, and the terms under which migrants can enter and remain in the UK, and UK citizens can move within the EU are revealed, the real impact on immigration and emigration will start to emerge.

This page offers evidence-based resources originating from IES and others on the impact of Brexit on migration and the UK workforce, including a subsection on the UK's nursing workforce.

• Migration
• Nursing workforce

Migration

Tony Wilson: Free movement will not end with this deal - and that's welcome news

Erica Consterdine: How will ending free movement impact UK employers?

Businesses sound the alarm over immigration as Brexit negotiations begin (NIESR)

Brexodus? Migration and uncertainty after the EU referendum (Migration Observatory)

European veterinary surgeons working in the UK: The impact of Brexit (baseline survey)

Brexit: Are we facing a workforce crunch? (Flip Chart Fairy Tales)

Migration Statistics Quarterly Report Statistical bulletins (Office for National Statistics)

Immigration and the UK Economy (Centre for Economic Performance)

The situation and rights of EU citizens in the UK (UK in a Changing Europe)

Brexit: Worries for small businesses with EU staff (BBC)

Brexit: UK-EU movement of people (House of Lords European Union Committee)

More talent, please: a blueprint for the UK’s future migration policy (LSE Brexit Blog)

Immigration: who needs a deal? (UK in a Changing Europe)

IPPR analysis highlights sectors with highest shares of lower-skilled migrant workers ahead of the formal triggering of Article 50 (IPPR)

A new model for migration: Manufacturers' priorities for a post-Brexit world (Engineering Employers' Federation (EEF))

The British jobs Brexit makes hard to fill (The Observer)

Sector-specific immigration system needed post-Brexit, minister suggests (People Management)

Common Travel Area: Prospects after Brexit (NI Constitution)

London’s 1.8m migrant workers contribute annual average of £46,000 (Financial Times (£))

TUC analysis details risk to NHS and social care in England from loss of EU workers (TUC)

Immigration is falling – be careful what you wish for (UK in a Changing Europe)

Migrant labour and agriculture (UK in a Changing Europe)

Immigration: a few questions (Flip Chart Fairy Tales Blog)

The Impact of Acquiring EU Status on the Earnings of East European Migrants in the UK: Evidence from a Quasi-Natural Experiment (COMPAS, University of Oxford)

The United Kingdom’s exit from, and new partnership with, the European Union White Paper – Sections 5 and 6 (DExEU)

Fall in supply of EU nationals contributing to skills and labour shortages (CIPD)

The Brexit immigration myth: Ending EU freedom of movement will not make a dramatic difference to net migration (Global Future)

Rachel Marangozov - Post-Brexit immigration systems and the impact on skills and labour supply: Update January 2017

Brexit implications for employment and social affairs: facts and figures

Labour Immigration after Brexit: Trade-offs and Questions about Policy Design (Migration Observatory)

The cost of post-Brexit migration control (People Management)

UK work permits at heart of Brexit immigration plan (Financial Times (£))

Let's Talk about Immigration: Young People, Jobs and Training (The State of Working Britain)

Brexit and labour market policy evidence session (Work and Pensions Committee)

Interim report into integration of migrants (APPG on Social Integration)

Government working to avoid labour shortage post-Brexit (Sky News)

The economic impact of Brexit-induced reductions in migration to the UK (VoxEU)

Why Britain’s public finances will suffer if Brexit reduces migration (The Conversation)

Report of the Inquiry into securing the status of EEA+ nationals in the UK (British Future)

Labour Mobility after Brexit (Bruegel)

Brexit – six months on: Immigration and free movement (UK in a Changing Europe)

Rachel Marangozov - Brexit, population ageing and nursing shortages: A perfect storm?

Beyond Brexit: Assessing key risks to the nursing workforce in England

The economic impact of Brexit-induced reductions in migration (NIESR)

Net migration begins to fall after Brexit vote – but residency applications from Europeans surge (People Management)

What’s happening to immigration post-Brexit (NIESR)

Brexit – Five months on (Sage Pubs)

 Britain's immigration offer to Europe (British Future)

Work permits back on the agenda for future EU workers (People Management)

The Fiscal Impact of Immigration in the UK (Migration Observatory)

Immigration and the UK: Reflections After Brexit (Centre for Research & Analysis of Migration)

Rachel Marangozov - Migrants don’t ‘take jobs’ and many sectors would struggle without them (Huffington Post)

Recruitment in Britain: Examining employers' practices and attitudes to employing UK-born and foreign-born workers

Rachel Marangozov - Post-Brexit immigration systems and the impact on skills supply

Brexit and the future of migrants in the social care workforce (Independent Age)

What might lower migration mean for workers, employers and government policy? (Resolution Foundation)

Businesses need reassurance on EU employees (British Chambers of Commerce)

Madeleine Sumption - Immigration and Brexit: Four challenges

What would UK immigration policy look like after Brexit? (Migration Observatory)

Rachel Marangozov - The true cost of 'welfare tourism'

Social dimension of intra-EU mobility: Impact on public services

A country study on immigrants from the new Member States to the United Kingdom

EU social partners’ first reactions to Brexit (European Observatory of Working Life)

Brexit and the Impact of Immigration on the UK (Centre for Economic Performance)

After Brexit: Net migration, unemployment and job vacancies (Social Market Foundation)

Here to stay? Residency and EU migrants after the referendum (Social Market Foundation)

'Let them stay? If only it were that easy…' (UK in a Changing Europe)

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Nursing workforce

IES research for the Migration Advisory Committee (MAC), published in 2016, revealed the scale of challenges facing the NHS nursing workforce. It found that the current shortage in nurses has been caused by three key factors: the Francis Report’s emphasis on safe staffing levels, which has pushed up the demand for nurses, the inadequate number of funded student nursing places in recent years, and an ageing workforce.

IES researchers followed this up with analysis that revealed the NHS trusts that were most at risk following the referendum.

This section offers evidence-based resources originating from IES and others on how Brexit might effect the UK's nursing workforce and the NHS as a whole.

Rachel Marangozov - Why worry about the 96% drop in EU nurse registrations?

New data show 96% drop in nurses from EU since July last year (The Health Foundation)

NHS to fast-track nurses as record EU staff leave service after Brexit vote (The Guardian)

NHS faces crippling crisis if Brexit forces out tens of thousands of EU nurses (RT)

Brexit and the NHS (NHS Confed)

Preparing for the impact of Brexit on health in the UK (UK in a Changing Europe)

What impact will Brexit have on nursing? (The Guardian)

Future of UK health care at risk as more than four in ten European doctors considering leaving UK following Brexit vote (BMA)

Fall in applicants 'threatens nursing's future' (Royal College of Nursing)

Number of EU nurses coming to UK falls 90 per cent since Brexit vote (Telegraph)

Beyond Brexit: Assessing key risks to the nursing workforce in England

Our nurses are being cast into a perfect Brexit storm (The Guardian)

Chiara Manzoni - NHS nurses: filling the recruitment gap

Becoming one of us (IPPR)

Rachel Marangozov - A third of nurses due to retire in the next 10 years. Who is going to plug the gap?

Five big issues for health and social care after the Brexit vote (The King's Fund)

How will Brexit affect the NHS? The English trusts that depend most on EU nurses (London School of Economics)

Nurse shortage 'could last for years' (BBC)

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