Brexit Observatory: Labour market
The overall impact of Brexit on employment and the wider labour market in the UK will depend not just on migration flows, but also on broader economic factors, such as trade patterns and business location decisions. The full impact will take time to emerge and will not become clear until the negotiations develop and we know what trade and labour migration arrangements we agree with our erstwhile European partners.
This page offers evidence-based resources originating from IES and others considering the impact of Brexit on the UK labour market.
Further decline in EU workers prompts fears of labour shortages
Jim Hillage, Director, Employment Policy Research
What might the fall in numbers of EU workers mean for the UK's labour market, and economy, in the light of Brexit. Jim Hillage considers this decline in the context of low unemployment and high numbers of vacancies across the labour market.
Post-Brexit immigration systems and the impact on skills and labour supply: Update January 2017
EU staff shortages put UK labour market under increasing pressure, says REC survey (Independent)
United Kingdom - Economic forecast summary (June 2017) (OECD)
Landowners warn of rural labour shortage since Brexit referendum (The Times (£))
Professional Briefings 11 – How can the UK and Scotland prosper outside the EU? (Academy of Social Sciences)
Finance firms stick to hard Brexit plans despite calls for softer EU break (Reuters)
A Fine Balance - speech by Mark Carney (Bank of England)
Redefining the UK's Relationship with the EU: Principles for economic success and prosperity (BCC)
Brexit: Are we facing a workforce crunch? (Flip Chart Fairy Tales)
Allie Renison: Government must listen to business when preparing for the possibility of a no-deal Brexit (Conservative Home)
Red, Yellow and Blue Brexit: the manifestos uncovered (UK in a Changing Europe)
Jobs market will suffer a Brexit slowdown, say experts (The Guardian)
Ten months after the EU referendum: How is the economy doing? - speech by Michael Saunders (Bank of England)
Brexit: financial services (House of Lords European Union Committee)
Division, austerity, the gig economy: migration isn’t our biggest labour market problem (LSE Brexit Blog)
Taskforce on Article 50 negotiations with the United Kingdom (European Commission)
Divorce settlement or leaving the club? A breakdown of the Brexit bill (Bruegel)
UK regions and European structural and investment funds (UK in a Changing Europe)
Making the most of Brexit (Demos)
Brexit and local government: the implications and the opportunities (LSE)
The biggest threat to the City of London is now uncertainty (LSE)
Article 50 Infographics – updated to end April (University of Surrey)
Andrea Broughton - Slides: Brexit: how it looks from the UK
The impact of EU Objective 1 funds on regional development: Evidence from the U.K. and the prospect of Brexit (Journal of Regional Science)
Economic cross-currents keep pay rises modest (Pay Climate, Incomes Data Research)
Chambers of Commerce: Put practicality, certainty at the heart of Brexit negotiations (British Chamber of Commerce)
Brexit May Cause U.K. Output to Fall 9.5%, MIT Study Shows (Bloomberg)
Navigating Brexit: Priorities for business, options for government (Institute of Directors)
Brexit and the European financial system: mapping markets, players and jobs (Bruegal)
A Brexit deal that minimizes damage for working people? (Greenwich Politcal Economy Research Centre)
Making the best of Brexit for the EU27 financial system (Bruegel)
Bank of England sharply raises UK Growth forecast (The Guardian)
Testing Brexit: researchers layout blueprint for success (UK in a Changing Europe)
Brexit: Labour Market - threat or opportunity? (Lords Economic Affairs Committee)
Hard Brexit means retiring later, Britons warned (The Guardian)
Brexit and labour market policy evidence session (Work and Pensions Committee)
The Macro-Economic Impact of Brexit: Using the CBR Macro-Economic Model of the UK Economy (University of Cambridge Centre for Business Research)
Transitional period for financial services vital following Brexit (Lords Select Committee)
UK's food industry: 'Access to single market and labour vital' (National Famers Union)
The Velvet Brexit (Social Europe)
Brexit and social security in the EU (Centre for European Policy Studies)
Brexit - Five months on (Sage Pub)
Long-term economic implications of Brexit: a report for the Scottish Parliament (Fraser of Allander Institute)
Labour Market Outlook (CIPD)
Brexit and beyond: how the United Kingdom might leave the European Union (UK in a Changing Europe)
The UK Economy - forecast summary (NIESR)
Brexit vote will lead to cut in disposable incomes in 2017, says thinktank (The Guardian)
Freelancers: "Brexit uncertainty remains a concern" (IPSE)
What to do with the UK? EU Perspectives on Brexit (VoxEU)
Earnings Outlook (Resolution Foundation)
Voting Leave: Causes and consequences (CentrePiece)
Assessment of the UK post-referendum economy: September 2016 (ONS)
Majority of UK CEOs considering moving operations abroad post-Brexit - survey (Reuters)
Fewer Finance Jobs, but More Lawyers: Is This the UK’s Post-Brexit Future? (Burning Glass)
Shaping the world of work - time for a UK jobs strategy (Warwick Papers in Industrial Relations)
IES Viewpoint: UK employment and Brexit: the issues
Taking the temperature of the post-Brexit economy (TUC)
Nigel Meager - Labour market remains strong in early post-referendum period, but watch this space...
Andrea Broughton - Brexit vote creates job uncertainty in the UK (Eurofound European Restructuring Monitor Quarterly)
Jim Hillage - The impact of Brexit on the world of employment
Brexit: impact across policy areas (House of Commons Library)
Jim Hillage - What does Brexit mean for employment?
Employers’ responses to Brexit: The perspective of employers in low skilled sectors (NIESR)
The implications of Brexit for UK agriculture (University of the West of England)
UK permanent staff recruitment falls at sharpest rate in seven years (Markit/Recruitment and Employment Confederation)
Tracking the impact of the EU referendum (Office for National Statistics)
Brexit Beckons: Thinking ahead by leading economists (VoxEU)
EU social partners’ first reactions to Brexit (European Observatory of Working Life)
The potential labour market impact of Brexit (Learning and Work Institute)
